![]() LSU’s defense is putrid, and the Tigers are on the road for the second straight week against a Missouri offense that will take advantage of the poor LSU secondary. PICK: UCLA -2.5 points in the first half (The Bruins to lead by 3 points or more at halftime) It’s why I’m taking them first half, to give myself some protection if the Cougars figure it out late. ![]() I like the Bruins to start fast after their bye week and perform well early in the game. I believe the Cougars are in for a rude surprise playing this UCLA defense, after a bye, in the quiet Rose Bowl. That’s the key to it: Being able to hit Cam Ward and get him to make errors. It is second in points per drive and seventh in havoc rate. Washington State’s offense is rolling this season, but UCLA’s defense is the best unit no one is talking about. The Cougars defense does not match up with the UCLA offense, which wants to run the ball and is rarely in a third-and-long situation. Its defense has been poor on third down when it’s not seven yards or more to go, and it hasn't been any better in the red zone. Washington State’s defense is 73rd in points per drive, 87th in yards per drive and 93rd in rushing defense success rate. ![]() This Cougars defense is not that Utah defense and UCLA is not on the road. UCLA struggled on offense with a true freshman quarterback at Utah, which is what happens to freshman quarterbacks who play at Utah. ![]() The same fate is waiting for the Cougars. ![]()
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